Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f763b55018e654fdd8c0c6cc684807b99cca4f278eb36fa5f94c7043df4777f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 834.86$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 499.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Over | 50c | 401.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 54c | 295$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 207.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 41c | 205.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 198.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 153.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 143.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 125.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 83.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 41.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 37.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…316cbacked Over | 50c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 63c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 38c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 68c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.