TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Any Other Boxer win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes1c20,655$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c14,624$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685c…6125backed Yes0c5,294$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde84…f053backed Yes0c5,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…8ca5backed Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82a…b946backed Yes1c4,958$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31f…0c7ebacked Yes0c4,683$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa40…d0c7backed Yes1c4,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…904abacked Yes18c1,493$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037c…0919backed Yes18c1,050$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…5ef7backed Yes12c433.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes28c310$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3879…0df4backed Yes19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce4…36aabacked Yes20c222$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104c…cf33backed Yes18c214.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-86%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef4c…827cbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…770dbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.