Boxing · resolved market
Will Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0d69c41a3c8a2bdf65e854874f81bd0e3215e3f66d89da22ff53aa12a8ec38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3502…16dcbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…0919backed Yes | 41c | 2,715$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 39c | 870$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed No | 64c | 800$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 59c | 322$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 37c | 247.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 37c | 215.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…275ebacked No | 64c | 173.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics? this page
- Will Any Other Boxer win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?No won
- Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?Yes won
- Will Morelle McCane (USA) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?No won
- Will Yang Liu (CHN) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.