Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f82d222e4084e86cf303428b02ca8e7443e123ac67c383c2e4e03f6cb07fc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,822$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 805.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 42c | 454.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 41c | 244.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 21c | 210$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 205$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 65c | 172.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 129.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 54.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Under | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 42.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed Under | 60c | 29.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.