Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbc850d5caf7005b20cf3b091e07ddbbc64493f13e2c961b1619830f7a6cdaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barbora Krejcikovaof Barbora Krejcikova, Renata Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Renata Zarazua | 5c | 8,707$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…0f9ebacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 8,569$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.54 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Renata Zarazua | 13c | 4,125$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 3,781$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.61 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Renata Zarazua | 6c | 1,976$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Renata Zarazua | 2c | 1,917$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 1,449$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 999.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 978$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 565.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Renata Zarazua | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Renata Zarazua | 5c | 445$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Renata Zarazua | 5c | 332.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 251.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Renata Zarazua | 5c | 212.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Renata Zarazua | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Renata Zarazua | 7c | 199$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Renata Zarazua | 13c | 142.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 129.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 124.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 110.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…05c9backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Barbora Krejcikova | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…7bacbacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…aa37backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…2feebacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 85.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 85.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Barbora Krejcikova | 80c | 36.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.