Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open, Qualification: Noa Vukadin vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fce1944c258aefefdc11f0e38f8906871d75ebd51a4a3f411dda2e212f1dfa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genaro Alberto Olivieriof Noa Vukadin, Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Noa Vukadin | 29c | 2,503$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.01 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Noa Vukadin | 37c | 1,500$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 67c | 1,305$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 74c | 1,094$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 73c | 1,059$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Noa Vukadin | 37c | 832.4$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Noa Vukadin | 9c | 524.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 78c | 483.66$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 65c | 428.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Noa Vukadin | 15c | 329.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Noa Vukadin | 24c | 297.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Noa Vukadin | 18c | 238.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noa Vukadin | 30c | 233.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Noa Vukadin | 30c | 210.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 77c | 195$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…1283backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 70c | 179.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 76c | 150.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Noa Vukadin | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 76c | 108.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 70c | 102.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noa Vukadin | 30c | 98.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Noa Vukadin | 31c | 86.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Noa Vukadin | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 71c | 73.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Noa Vukadin | 24c | 57.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Noa Vukadin | 30c | 56.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 70c | 56.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 68c | 30.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 68c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Noa Vukadin vs Genaro Alberto Olivierithis page
- Set Handicap: Olivieri (-1.5) vs Vukadin (+1.5)Olivieri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.