Lol · resolved market
LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20052d88d03349ba6aca902a08f796becaf19f41b9d111d3b7569745ce84bf3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof BOMBA Team, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x515d…0340backed devils.one | 20c | 1,145$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked devils.one | 16c | 1,087$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BOMBA Team | 72c | 867.54$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BOMBA Team | 64c | 645.32$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 20c | 547.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BOMBA Team | 66c | 484.61$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked devils.one | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed devils.one | 45c | 251.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed devils.one | 19c | 102.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed BOMBA Team | 70c | 92.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 409 | 55.5%227 W · 182 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked devils.one | 45c | 82.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed BOMBA Team | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked devils.one | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked BOMBA Team | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked devils.one | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BOMBA Team | 63c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 35.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked BOMBA Team | 79c | 29.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked devils.one | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasondevils.one won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.