Lol · resolved market
LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942d980e28a451eddb86c2df458fbd82adf156664c66d88185042deb9bbcc2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof BOMBA Team, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked devils.one | 60c | 1,211$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.63 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BOMBA Team | 33c | 1,052$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.28 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BOMBA Team | 43c | 641.71$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed devils.one | 53c | 451$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed BOMBA Team | 10c | 202.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked BOMBA Team | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed devils.one | 55c | 144.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 409 | 55.5%227 W · 182 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked devils.one | 63c | 87.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed devils.one | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed devils.one | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked devils.one | 79c | 43.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BOMBA Team | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked BOMBA Team | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked devils.one | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed devils.one | 68c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasondevils.one won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.