Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201e77548e78590b40bc2e7ff4d8cd0da995b4ca6b1aca967844bfa87f4d16fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Buse, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Buse | 51c | 753.78$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Humbert | 49c | 553.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Buse | 46c | 380.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Humbert | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Buse | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Humbert | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Humbert | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…cb4fbacked Buse | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Humbert | 77c | 159$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Buse | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Buse | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Humbert | 51c | 97.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Humbert | 48c | 90.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Buse | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Humbert | 50c | 72.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Humbert | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Humbert | 18c | 62.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0071backed Buse | 49c | 40.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Humbert | 65c | 37.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Humbert | 51c | 33.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Buse | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Humbert | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)this page
- Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo HumbertIgnacio Buse won
- Set 1 Winner: Buse vs HumbertBuse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.