South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20555ef15b5746a862055fc281c45c02efecc654bcc8af010c822f5c8387fd9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 2,720$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.38 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,426$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 1,366$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 999.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 970.31$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 801.72$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.12 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 65c | 372.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 65c | 307.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 216.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…03ccbacked Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 161.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 49.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 48.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 43c | 45.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 38.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 24.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 43c | 24.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 53c | 23.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…d358backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 59c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.