South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205585abdcd3fc4d919a65d1f15a38d322b32ad25f95ea912eaf305dd5d04425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 35,000$19,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 45c | 20,146$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.86 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 7,441$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.04 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 44c | 7,438$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,199$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.36 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 40c | 592.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 482$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 467.43$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 380.19$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 149.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 47c | 56.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…7760backed Yes | 57c | 25.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Yes | 57c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Yes | 68c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.