MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205d4783bd149a82b422f8d334ab651b7484ac89212e01610c6f5d69d3171787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 2,756$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.05 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 1,020$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 894.27$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.05 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 562.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 537.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 479.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 77c | 386.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 340.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 301.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 291.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 283.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 245.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 245.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 240.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 203.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 186.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 181.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 152.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 129.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 128.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 111.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 60.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 60.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 60.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 60.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 57.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 54.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 54.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 44.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 29.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 28.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.