Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2077357d5a106494a27d3e626716ada4acddcce05425dc5c54f6dd464319913d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 11,629$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.37 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 43c | 7,559$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 3,850$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.67 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 3,844$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.74 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 49c | 3,706$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 3,481$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Over | 51c | 2,988$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Under | 48c | 2,416$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 2,145$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.09 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Under | 76c | 1,827$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.98 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Under | 49c | 732.06$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 52c | 663.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 642.42$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 640.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 599.05$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 460.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 48c | 356.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 52c | 252.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 52c | 223.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 52c | 223.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 199.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over | 53c | 187.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 160.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…9046backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 52c | 134.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 51c | 133.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 101.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 52c | 99.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 86.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 82.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 22c | 71.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 19c | 67.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…4db1backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 29c | 51.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Under | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Under | 74c | 34.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 52c | 30.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 76c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.