La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a4c564eb02e0aa51bd0b2e589bb566ff28fe99f8c7b98306c1c218347eefb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 2,811$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.62 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,916$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 72c | 272$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 164.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 130.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 95.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 36c | 83.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 73.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 36c | 55.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 35.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 61c | 33.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 19.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.