Lol · resolved market
LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c89d4c465a49af787334960205ee9899ac5e839333115bff6d0b93f40a5e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crusadersof Crusaders, Periquitos Zangados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 4,886$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.04 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Periquitos Zangados | 10c | 1,351$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 969$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Periquitos Zangados | 19c | 821.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 395$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 318.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 245.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 231.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 429 | 35.2%151 W · 278 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 230.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Periquitos Zangados | 11c | 222.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 118.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 67.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Crusaders | 74c | 61.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CRZ (-1.5) vs Periquitos Zangados (+1.5)Crusaders won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados (BO3) - LPLOL PlayoffsCrusaders won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 1 WinnerCrusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.