Lol · resolved market
LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b5691dc273878978841b56a022976877c08cf10a30dcf23f4cc7f28945b4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crusadersof Crusaders, Periquitos Zangados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 2,264$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Periquitos Zangados | 19c | 821.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 679.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 497.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 482.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 434.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 395$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Periquitos Zangados | 16c | 390.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 337.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…7dcabacked Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 306.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Periquitos Zangados | 19c | 275$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Periquitos Zangados | 13c | 184.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 174.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Periquitos Zangados | 20c | 151.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Periquitos Zangados | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Periquitos Zangados | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Periquitos Zangados | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Periquitos Zangados | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Periquitos Zangados | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CRZ (-1.5) vs Periquitos Zangados (+1.5)Crusaders won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados (BO3) - LPLOL PlayoffsCrusaders won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 2 WinnerCrusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.