Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CRZ (-1.5) vs Periquitos Zangados (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52d88cfe4dc26f2d1fefd6fb4a36911e57c9a0c9164aadb48a76e9b990ae8e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crusadersof Crusaders, Periquitos Zangados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 5,223$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.01 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crusaders | 79c | 3,404$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.27 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 2,599$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.79 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 1,622$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 921$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 618.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 477.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 448$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…fab1backed Periquitos Zangados | 35c | 380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Crusaders | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed Periquitos Zangados | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Periquitos Zangados | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Periquitos Zangados | 21c | 76.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Crusaders | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Periquitos Zangados | 26c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CRZ (-1.5) vs Periquitos Zangados (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados (BO3) - LPLOL PlayoffsCrusaders won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 1 WinnerCrusaders won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados - Game 2 WinnerCrusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.