Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Ayla Aksu vs Vendula Valdmannova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d6913f160186204588510b09854b82bada6700343694b186bd35befcf4aceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vendula Valdmannovaof Ayla Aksu, Vendula Valdmannova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu | 16c | 18,892$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.06 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Vendula Valdmannova | 46c | 5,350$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.35 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ayla Aksu | 56c | 3,818$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.43 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vendula Valdmannova | 62c | 1,739$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.82 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Vendula Valdmannova | 50c | 1,039$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 808.59$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vendula Valdmannova | 76c | 707.6$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Ayla Aksu | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ayla Aksu | 18c | 428.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ayla Aksu | 8c | 370.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 319.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Ayla Aksu | 50c | 312$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ayla Aksu | 30c | 222.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Vendula Valdmannova | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ayla Aksu | 36c | 198.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Ayla Aksu | 34c | 164.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ayla Aksu | 29c | 144.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ayla Aksu | 34c | 119.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ayla Aksu | 40c | 116.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Vendula Valdmannova | 52c | 110.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 67c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ayla Aksu | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ayla Aksu | 27c | 100.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Ayla Aksu | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Vendula Valdmannova | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ayla Aksu | 45c | 47.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Vendula Valdmannova | 79c | 32.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Vendula Valdmannova | 54c | 23.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Vendula Valdmannova | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Vendula Valdmannova | 56c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vendula Valdmannova | 73c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Vendula Valdmannova | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 15.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.