Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210138f2cdcf039b0d606ab9b2bc3927be6cba739c98f78a04b1d9fada7d4738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 1,955$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 74c | 1,695$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.16 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 74c | 1,627$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.62 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 22c | 1,500$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 25c | 834.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 22c | 772.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Over | 72c | 451.91$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 74c | 348.03$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -13.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 27c | 207.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Over | 78c | 206.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Over | 75c | 165.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 72c | 88.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 86.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 26c | 76.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 26c | 57.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 75c | 55.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 70c | 41.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c00fbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX Challengers won
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5)Kiwoom DRX Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 WinnerKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 WinnerKiwoom DRX Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.