CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212cde63c1e4dc7c059cc75732316d3c84e0dc88f8b1733123e6894161501ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Falcons Force, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Honvéd | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Falcons Force | 72c | 545.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Falcons Force | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 41c | 424.38$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 65c | 339.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Honvéd | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 21c | 114.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 59c | 112.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Honvéd | 35c | 80.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Honvéd | 40c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Honvéd | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Honvéd | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d5…0560backed Honvéd | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Falcons Force | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Honvéd | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.