Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Pietro Fellin vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21819eeb18136331bae29b08c5a11534b9048f74de3826098c8bd56bf54da11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Passaroof Pietro Fellin, Francesco Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pietro Fellin | 7c | 1,884$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pietro Fellin | 33c | 1,632$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 1,575$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pietro Fellin | 29c | 1,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Pietro Fellin | 8c | 776.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Pietro Fellin | 19c | 515.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pietro Fellin | 21c | 515.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Francesco Passaro | 79c | 504.77$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Passaro | 69c | 209.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pietro Fellin | 17c | 203.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesco Passaro | 78c | 197.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pietro Fellin | 20c | 190.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pietro Fellin | 16c | 173.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…1534backed Francesco Passaro | 71c | 140.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Pietro Fellin | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Pietro Fellin | 19c | 105.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pietro Fellin | 21c | 75.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pietro Fellin | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Francesco Passaro | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pietro Fellin | 22c | 60.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Francesco Passaro | 71c | 46.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Pietro Fellin | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…42c8backed Francesco Passaro | 69c | 35.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Francesco Passaro | 71c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Francesco Passaro | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.