Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21cc5876dfdcb6993689f48399b9d4ec2e9f16c0163e0b40698f581eae4ad51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof University War, OXEN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed OXEN | 21c | 1,146$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked University War | 78c | 1,006$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…7525backed OXEN | 27c | 213.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked University War | 72c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed OXEN | 27c | 185.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed University War | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked University War | 67c | 134.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed OXEN | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed OXEN | 33c | 120.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed University War | 79c | 102.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed University War | 72c | 76.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked University War | 72c | 55.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed OXEN | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed OXEN | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed University War | 79c | 33.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…aae5backed University War | 72c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed University War | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked University War | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: University War vs OXEN - Map 1 WinnerUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs OXEN - Map 2 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.