Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Bradley Braves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ec63ca1d8a62a912147ca6ce5f24978f474162ee7c3ee7003e11999f6403a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Bradley Braves, Southern Illinois Salukis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Bradley Braves | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Bradley Braves | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Bradley Braves | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-6.5)this page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley BravesBradley Braves won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 148.5Under won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-5.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.