Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3810d94a4d774b11d11e184780d6919279a4ba9786a31256a953220bacddc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 48c | 190$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 42c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 149.5this page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley BravesBradley Braves won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-5.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-6.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.