Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf116bc3c52bf5116758da498f4909216e1ef7ab535a9cbfae6c82e78a82eeb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Southern Illinois Salukis, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 7c | 2,174$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 35c | 1,024$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 74c | 838.83$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves | 69c | 678.26$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 11c | 675.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 17c | 463.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 24c | 320.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 14c | 295.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 11c | 269.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bradley Braves | 69c | 267.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 14c | 188.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves | 69c | 134.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Bradley Braves | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bradley Braves | 70c | 94.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Bradley Braves | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ed4dbacked Bradley Braves | 80c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Bradley Braves | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bradley Braves | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 148.5Under won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-5.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-6.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.