NHL · resolved market
DEL: Straubing Tigers vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22100d73eca9133146e553fbfed3055b15a20b452ea19b65acb48371376907c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Straubing Tigersof Straubing Tigers, Eisbaeren Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a1f…98f0backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 229$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…8ca7backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 220.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…7766backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 218.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…b4e2backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 216.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…b1c6backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…9c3dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4beabacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…6580backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…22cabacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…2db0backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…b8c5backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 211.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…7ff7backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 210.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…ee6bbacked Straubing Tigers | 50c | 210.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…f04bbacked Straubing Tigers | 50c | 209.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…95c3backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 207.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…cf86backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 203.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…9265backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 203.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…da36backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…416fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d87…eadcbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e91…fe4cbacked Straubing Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 48c | 50.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Straubing Tigers | 31c | 48.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 48c | 43.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Straubing Tigers | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.