Tennis · resolved market
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223fe3af43ad7fcbb9fcdca553bf8f59afcd376552b816ee0ee9e76e638226ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Bergs, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Tabilo | 59c | 7,852$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.61 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bergs | 35c | 5,977$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.91 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bergs | 57c | 2,225$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.85 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Tabilo | 44c | 1,609$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Bergs | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tabilo | 69c | 1,131$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bergs | 43c | 840.14$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.14 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Tabilo | 49c | 641$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tabilo | 42c | 560.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Bergs | 43c | 466.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bergs | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bergs | 51c | 399.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tabilo | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tabilo | 49c | 258$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bergs | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bergs | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tabilo | 49c | 205.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Tabilo | 49c | 205.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tabilo | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Tabilo | 45c | 125.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tabilo | 48c | 115.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Tabilo | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Bergs | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Tabilo | 56c | 89.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Bergs | 52c | 72.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bergs | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tabilo | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Tabilo | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.