CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225ca3e23f2b2f2f20be63e81d469a7d1e1be703ce69f7bf3d35eec9958ae1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Mindfreak, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Rooster | 26c | 4,187$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.39 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Rooster | 76c | 2,362$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rooster | 39c | 1,365$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rooster | 42c | 776.52$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mindfreak | 71c | 622.09$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Mindfreak | 56c | 603.36$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Rooster | 51c | 587.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 67c | 469.23$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mindfreak | 43c | 457.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Rooster | 43c | 302.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked Rooster | 9c | 285.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Mindfreak | 45c | 260.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Mindfreak | 8c | 236.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mindfreak | 27c | 167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Mindfreak | 66c | 150.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Mindfreak | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Rooster | 16c | 127.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rooster | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rooster | 47c | 108.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Mindfreak | 22c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Mindfreak | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rooster | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Mindfreak | 22c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mindfreak | 57c | 97.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rooster | 35c | 92.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Mindfreak | 29c | 90.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Rooster | 45c | 86.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mindfreak | 65c | 69.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mindfreak | 61c | 63.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Mindfreak | 33c | 61.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mindfreak | 60c | 60.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Mindfreak | 51c | 55.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Mindfreak | 68c | 51.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Mindfreak | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…0a2bbacked Rooster | 26c | 44.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +289.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mindfreak | 75c | 43.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Rooster | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Mindfreak | 74c | 29.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Rooster | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Mindfreak | 60c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Mindfreak | 76c | 24.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Mindfreak | 64c | 17.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Rooster | 62c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffsRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.