CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85f338459d165db676bf081ac72c8fb23f8a552560894ef9f9771481db1be8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Mindfreak, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Mindfreak | 48c | 2,427$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.18 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rooster | 59c | 1,376$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mindfreak | 46c | 1,247$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rooster | 74c | 1,111$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.6 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rooster | 44c | 875.56$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rooster | 52c | 575.74$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rooster | 56c | 407.42$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Mindfreak | 20c | 402.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Mindfreak | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mindfreak | 45c | 262.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rooster | 59c | 199.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Mindfreak | 40c | 182.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rooster | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Mindfreak | 42c | 119.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rooster | 58c | 118.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Mindfreak | 42c | 117.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rooster | 78c | 75.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Rooster | 59c | 63.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Rooster | 60c | 53.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Mindfreak | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mindfreak | 44c | 51.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rooster | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Mindfreak | 38c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mindfreak | 31c | 37.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rooster | 56c | 30.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…89a9backed Mindfreak | 42c | 28.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Rooster | 52c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rooster | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rooster | 75c | 17.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Rooster | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffsRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.