CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226017e7ee7e7c7f3e824b84ae7f98e26f49671d30d62258f1b1c62da8c9abcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 5,678$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.96 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 4,296$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.51 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Crashers | 21c | 1,512$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Crashers | 22c | 1,171$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Crashers | 21c | 948$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Crashers | 25c | 902.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Crashers | 22c | 850.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 22c | 799.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Crashers | 22c | 677.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed Crashers | 23c | 660.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 640.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Crashers | 23c | 556.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Crashers | 23c | 528.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Crashers | 23c | 522.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Crashers | 23c | 503.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Crashers | 25c | 477.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Crashers | 22c | 429.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crashers | 22c | 369.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Crashers | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Crashers | 21c | 289.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Crashers | 9c | 288.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Crashers | 22c | 268.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Crashers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 248.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Crashers | 24c | 242.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Crashers | 23c | 206.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Crashers | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Crashers | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Crashers | 23c | 132.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Crashers | 23c | 107.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Crashers | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Crashers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Crashers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…4f28backed Crashers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Crashers | 23c | 85.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Crashers | 24c | 83.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.