Fifa International · resolved market
Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226195b7ba1fad91dc5e41fdc16dfd4a4fba787b1dd448c183f3a431c3ea8022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 45c | 740.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.01 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iñaki Williams: 2+ shotsthis page
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Augustine Boakye: 1+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 2+ shotsNo won
- Caleb Yirenkyi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Ismael Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ shotsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 2+ goalsNo won
- José Fajardo: 1+ shotsNo won
- José Fajardo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kamal Deen Sulemana: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kamal Deen Sulemana: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Luis Mejía: 3+ savesNo won
- Luis Mejía: 4+ savesNo won
- Tomás Rodríguez: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.