TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b7…4108backed No73c10,578$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.993762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No71c3,519$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.2137959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes29c3,303$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9587431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No71c2,144$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3146464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No71c1,242$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35516564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No70c1,033$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes28c841.92$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23815140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.510931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes28c707.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008333.7%28 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c512.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c429.43$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.169230.4%28 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6301…f70dbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes31c325.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes30c306.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed Yes28c202$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.564158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x795b…9066backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018942.3%80 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes12c171.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4822919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes28c171.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes29c148.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes26c141.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c127.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes21c121.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No70c110.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed No73c105.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5640240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked No74c104.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1229341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes30c100.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.185639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Yes28c94.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.346250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes33c90.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.648457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492e…e77fbacked Yes29c69.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No71c55.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154551.1%23 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed No73c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.776152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No76c45.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1137971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…1cddbacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09bf…87aabacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Yes32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311438.6%44 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.246743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d98fbacked Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.154951%25 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…4333backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf49…f4fcbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No73c29.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0917271.5%123 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No67c20.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8821565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No69c20.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.636423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c18.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.852,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e2…e7b8backed No73c17.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No72c15.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4412936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1e…e4efbacked No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.611100%11 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked No74c14.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.668742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.