Fifa International · resolved market
Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94833f0aaa9feeae815c47826affc55a850d51d2f4292e5905290143125bd755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd04d…2e97backed Yes | 27c | 468.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 73c | 368.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 73c | 312$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 74c | 159.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 120.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 25c | 111.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 53 | 86.8%46 W · 7 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 26c | 46.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goalsthis page
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Augustine Boakye: 1+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Brandon Thomas-Asante: 2+ shotsNo won
- Caleb Yirenkyi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Ismael Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ shotsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 2+ goalsNo won
- José Fajardo: 1+ shotsNo won
- José Fajardo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kamal Deen Sulemana: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kamal Deen Sulemana: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Luis Mejía: 3+ savesNo won
- Luis Mejía: 4+ savesNo won
- Tomás Rodríguez: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.