Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Utes vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2265ee9da4b188c158f76ab1bb70db3f57bb122699de089071a806c91590fb46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof Utah Utes, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California Golden Bears | 76c | 5,969$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.56 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Utes | 22c | 4,182$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 2,557$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Utah Utes | 23c | 2,256$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah Utes | 24c | 1,998$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.42 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 77c | 1,850$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked California Golden Bears | 79c | 1,804$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Utah Utes | 21c | 1,362$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Utah Utes | 24c | 1,055$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Utah Utes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Utes | 12c | 865.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked California Golden Bears | 77c | 700$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Utah Utes | 22c | 668.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 586.84$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears | 73c | 549$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Utah Utes | 17c | 510.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Utah Utes | 40c | 494.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…20eebacked Utah Utes | 17c | 486.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Utah Utes | 21c | 469.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked California Golden Bears | 70c | 418$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California Golden Bears | 75c | 410.03$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Utah Utes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes | 20c | 241.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 18c | 159.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Utes | 37c | 124.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 118.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Utah Utes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Utah Utes | 15c | 99.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…3aa8backed Utah Utes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 94.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Utah Utes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked California Golden Bears | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 67.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed California Golden Bears | 77c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears | 73c | 53.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked California Golden Bears | 74c | 50.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked California Golden Bears | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Utah Utes | 35c | 31.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed California Golden Bears | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…7295backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 22.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…8ae2backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 19.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.