Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Glamorgan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228f765e8e8652c07e4d716e56a416fea88027a878b043a74adbc47f8cba5378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Middlesex, Glamorgan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Middlesex | 72c | 430.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Glamorgan | 28c | 393.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Middlesex | 77c | 351.33$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Middlesex | 59c | 279.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Glamorgan | 40c | 236.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Glamorgan | 23c | 201.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Glamorgan | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Glamorgan | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Middlesex | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Middlesex | 57c | 50.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Glamorgan | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Middlesex | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Glamorgan | 36c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Middlesex | 58c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Middlesex | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.