TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof Sinners, INOX Division
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division62c3,291$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.665,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed Sinners40c2,644$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.227247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Sinners42c1,649$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.9626854.5%146 W · 122 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Sinners38c1,406$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.21533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked INOX Division61c700$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Sinners20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004959.2%29 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+67.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division56c352.8$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.582,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed INOX Division57c285$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4547655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9b…3f82backed INOX Division53c231.43$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed INOX Division59c224.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.032,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed INOX Division52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3274754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sinners38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.568749.6%341 W · 346 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed INOX Division52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked INOX Division61c96.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.873452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed INOX Division61c77.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4219847.5%94 W · 104 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed INOX Division53c34.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Sinners40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.124835.1%87 W · 161 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed INOX Division53c29.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe3…07c4backed INOX Division58c26.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.