Euroleague · resolved market
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d6888ed3f64f45ee282cc4f31d74f4c93d384641f59b6045d9847dcf1b03da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Pioneersof Tianjin Pioneers, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 0c | 7,016$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tianjin Pioneers | 46c | 3,872$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.42 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 53c | 2,386$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.22 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 30c | 1,542$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 28c | 1,034$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.61 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 647$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.37 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 61c | 605.58$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.11 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 50c | 443.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b76…21b3backed Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 402$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…4ba9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 355$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…ac7abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 329$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 302.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Tianjin Pioneers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tianjin Pioneers | 71c | 222.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tianjin Pioneers | 27c | 178.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 52c | 172.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 171$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…d2aabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 144$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 72c | 138.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…8414backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Tianjin Pioneers | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…a71bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 84.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 67.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 45.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…2112backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Tianjin Pioneers | 27c | 43.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 34.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.