Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22eae310bf9112145032df7ca13f2931dddb67f7c5b7f8f9a08b22c5f3b78455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peay Governorsof Austin Peay Governors, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Stetson Hatters | 6c | 1,875$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stetson Hatters | 22c | 1,335$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 1,130$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Stetson Hatters | 22c | 1,113$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Austin Peay Governors | 77c | 434.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 76c | 413.48$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stetson Hatters | 9c | 367.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Stetson Hatters | 22c | 301.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Stetson Hatters | 17c | 220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stetson Hatters | 23c | 205.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Stetson Hatters | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 183.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Stetson Hatters | 20c | 132.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Stetson Hatters | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 13.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hattersthis page
- Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-7.5)Austin Peay Governors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.