Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 August 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f0e20912221a4b80d24b3a01397e11f1190f074504237cb97afabf35f65742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78cb…f366backed No | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 1,752$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.26 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 33c | 1,568$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.91 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,189$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.95 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,007$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.15 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.62per pick | 29cpaid | +713.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 67c | 475.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827e…554bbacked Yes | 63c | 462$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…48f0backed Yes | 72c | 416.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +690%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 400.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 40c | 297.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…cc67backed No | 62c | 286.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…d359backed Yes | 66c | 194$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 51c | 111.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 56.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…370dbacked No | 53c | 41.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed No | 48c | 33.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 August 17-23?this page
- Will Solana dip to $70 August 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 August 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.