Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 August 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f75d66f1043b4932d5ace2420b049d00644db2d92878af87ddb9dc7e0e32b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,781$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +956.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,261$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.36 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.62per pick | 29cpaid | +713.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 929.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 908.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.89 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 46c | 804.09$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b02…7d08backed Yes | 26c | 519.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 498.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.83 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…48f0backed Yes | 10c | 310.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +690%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…0ec3backed Yes | 10c | 228.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,042.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4928…a2edbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed No | 37c | 190.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 17c | 139.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 58c | 100.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…2b7dbacked Yes | 24c | 64.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 59.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…99d2backed Yes | 21c | 56.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed No | 78c | 50.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…5ad6backed Yes | 21c | 50.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 75c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed Yes | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 August 17-23?this page
- Will Solana dip to $70 August 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 August 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 August 17-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.