Premier League · resolved market
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f6e740e11b363f52d3b927c9515465708e76df7545d6ad549f6e7c36c7a009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 11,984$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,306.74 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 11,421$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…db9dbacked No | 1c | 2,177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 51c | 2,065$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 33c | 1,651$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.73 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,396$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 1,121$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 67c | 605.91$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 599.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.03 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 12c | 312.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 276.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 237.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 8c | 209.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 157.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 146.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 14c | 146.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 66c | 145.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 11c | 123$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 35c | 57.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…fcebbacked Yes | 70c | 42.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 39.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…e20dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.