Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23055ae1079fd695db70a4b9c8a5d3656e3a22ed28f17334e117939b1cbf380b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 2,109$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,621$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 47c | 1,235$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 45c | 1,120$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 56c | 443.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 32c | 267.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 44c | 252.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 135.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 44c | 118$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 77.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 53.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 44c | 53.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 43c | 35.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 44c | 23.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…ca52backed Under | 63c | 21.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. AZ: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.