CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Sashi Esport (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2306980f05c9111a9115ca04e88874e55efeccb0e1fa18948f94563a183149e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof TNC, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Sashi Esport | 54c | 4,157$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.14 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…7e0fbacked Sashi Esport | 69c | 1,428$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 31c | 987.6$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed TNC | 38c | 949.95$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TNC | 66c | 747.02$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.92 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TNC | 35c | 646.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TNC | 32c | 598.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 34c | 537.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TNC | 50c | 515.73$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 37c | 313.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed TNC | 34c | 293.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked TNC | 17c | 250.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed TNC | 18c | 241.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 37c | 223.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed TNC | 37c | 214.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 197.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed TNC | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked TNC | 19c | 185.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TNC | 7c | 152$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed TNC | 31c | 127$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TNC | 30c | 101.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed TNC | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 50c | 88.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed TNC | 39c | 68.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNC | 30c | 66.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Sashi Esport | 78c | 63.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 52.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked TNC | 34c | 47.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Sashi Esport | 56c | 46.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sashi Esport | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked TNC | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.