Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Justina Mikulskyte
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230fe5cd261be9399002ebb0a7c8d494150c1aff0a70aa7ebe569050a222f558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alicia Herrero Linanaof Alicia Herrero Linana, Justina Mikulskyte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 71c | 2,556$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.28 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 782$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Justina Mikulskyte | 13c | 584.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 51c | 297.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Justina Mikulskyte | 38c | 222.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 62c | 220.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 131.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 61c | 97.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Justina Mikulskyte | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Justina Mikulskyte | 50c | 95.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 70c | 91.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 87.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Justina Mikulskyte | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Justina Mikulskyte | 37c | 57.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 55.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 62c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 70c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 64c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.