Tennis · resolved market
ITF Koszalin: Adam Majchrzak vs Radovan Michalik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x231508a25f96b153ab4ac14cf085509fe980c96c02a750fbc33f4af4955ebcb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Majchrzakof Adam Majchrzak, Radovan Michalik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Radovan Michalik | 44c | 4,373$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.24 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adam Majchrzak | 57c | 3,910$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Majchrzak | 61c | 530.73$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Radovan Michalik | 42c | 405$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adam Majchrzak | 75c | 272.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Radovan Michalik | 37c | 216.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Radovan Michalik | 26c | 106.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Adam Majchrzak | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Radovan Michalik | 34c | 92.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Adam Majchrzak | 63c | 85.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Adam Majchrzak | 65c | 85.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Adam Majchrzak | 57c | 81.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Adam Majchrzak | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Adam Majchrzak | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Adam Majchrzak | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Radovan Michalik | 44c | 32.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Adam Majchrzak | 56c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Adam Majchrzak | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…7d37backed Adam Majchrzak | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.