Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23347b7a8eed5bba7cecf2224f773db48416462c256450701f47499762b2e651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof FALKE ESPORTS, HGE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed HGE Esports | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 1,724$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.61 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…85bebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed HGE Esports | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 695.71$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HGE Esports | 37c | 355.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 333.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HGE Esports | 35c | 295.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed HGE Esports | 39c | 267.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked HGE Esports | 39c | 259.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HGE Esports | 33c | 201.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed HGE Esports | 37c | 199.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 116.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed HGE Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 96.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed FALKE ESPORTS | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 78.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HGE Esports | 33c | 58.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 54.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 62c | 44.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked HGE Esports | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed HGE Esports | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed HGE Esports | 34c | 33.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed HGE Esports | 37c | 32.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs HGE Esports - Map 1 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs HGE Esports - Map 2 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.