Earnings · resolved market
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235ce53a39a8b1a938e895785371cec35d2a8efc1f86d947a89fc6768af28e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,964 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 72c | 667$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 11c | 470.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 27c | 399.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed No | 79c | 378.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…d151backed No | 18c | 274$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…964ebacked No | 57c | 268.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 50c | 253.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…493abacked Yes | 41c | 242.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…c99dbacked No | 16c | 241$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 9c | 224.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 10c | 172.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked No | 10c | 151.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 9c | 136.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 13c | 98.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +269.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 14c | 78.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 30c | 60.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked No | 41c | 38.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.