Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23618b45c3b7cb18a0ff985d7dd68f09d39bcd43530cc84f73e64b8a2da7497e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Peru Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 36c | 963.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.17 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Peru Rejects | 65c | 855.41$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.91 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion | 49c | 479.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Peru Rejects | 60c | 420$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Peru Rejects | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Peru Rejects | 57c | 199.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked GamerLegion | 72c | 194.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed GamerLegion | 44c | 184.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Peru Rejects | 56c | 184.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed GamerLegion | 38c | 149.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed GamerLegion | 40c | 115.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Peru Rejects | 60c | 115.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Peru Rejects | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Peru Rejects | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 42.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Peru Rejects | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed GamerLegion | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GamerLegion | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…1761backed Peru Rejects | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPeru Rejects won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 1 WinnerPeru Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.