Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5284ad3e07803144837af1ae6430222724c92ec823e0a62397ecdb0b9abbd0a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peru Rejectsof GamerLegion, Peru Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Peru Rejects | 69c | 870$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 31c | 821.61$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Peru Rejects | 58c | 701.7$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 42c | 600.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Peru Rejects | 55c | 386.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Peru Rejects | 61c | 209.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed GamerLegion | 37c | 184.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed GamerLegion | 34c | 133.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 128.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 102.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 70.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Peru Rejects | 70c | 63.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Peru Rejects | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked GamerLegion | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked GamerLegion | 55c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 55c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Peru Rejects | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPeru Rejects won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Peru Rejects - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.