Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23838d91e09c699eda5d71484e1665f3022cec8c0f8d1f0cb96914e371e48a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,492$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 47c | 895.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.83 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 871.64$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.01 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 698.08$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 555.34$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 42c | 535.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 522.59$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 414$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 340.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 49c | 214.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 174.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 141.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 58c | 115.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 53c | 111.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 42c | 86.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 69.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 62.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 45c | 55.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 46c | 44.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 57c | 27.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 60c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 63c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.